🏈 Waivers & Surveys

Urban Meyer, Matt Nagy, how often should we run the newsletter - Plus waiver wires, injuries, and some comedy.

Nov 30, 2021

Good morning. Let’s make the perfect newsletter (and maybe 3x per week) - Fill out this 4-question survey and we will read every suggestion on how we can make these final few weeks epic. And lead you to titles. Again.

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It’s been the worst fantasy football season in a long time. Just look at this list after Christian McCaffrey was ruled out for season with his ankle injury.:

Bill Barnwell @billbarnwell

The big ($12m+ AAV) RB contracts… CMC - done for year Henry - out indefinitely Cook - out indefinitely Kamara - out injured Zeke - playing through injury Aaron Jones - just back from injury Chubb - missed two games with injury but playing well Mixon - very good

We’ve got a great newsletter for you, so let’s get into it.

Matt Nagy of the Day

Week 13 Waivers

Throughout the season, this section was early on Cordarelle Patterson, Elijah Moore, Rhamondre Stevenson, Brandon Aiyuk and Michael Gallup.

Top buys this week:

Alexander Mattison - Mattison’s finishes in two starts w/out Dalvin Cook this year: RB7 and RB5, with 51-of-57 RB carries & 100% RB target share. $1.47 on Prediction Strike.
Jamaal Williams - With Swift leaving early, Wiliams rushed for 65 on 15 carries and added five catches on five targets for 18. Up 19% on Prediction Strike.
Logan Thomas - 14.09 avg PPR points allowed by remaining opponents to TEs (#1 in NFL). Down 8% on Prediction Strike.
Chuba Hubbard - Bye week and three Top 8 matchups in difficulty over the final five weeks. Ameer Abdullah was highly involved yesterday. Projected just 3.3 points on Prediction Strike.
Dontrelle Hillard - Despite a 35% rush share, Hillard immediately impressed with 131 rushing yards and a 68-yard TD run against a top-five NFL defense.
Kendrick Bourne - Bourne had an 18.8% target share Sunday. Over his last five games, he hasn't dipped below a 15% share.
Foster Moreau - Moreau’s usage in his lone start this year for Darren Waller (knee): 100% snaps - 6 targets - 17.6% target share - 6/60/1.

Waiver wire articles:

CBS - highlights Phillip Lindsay, Boston Scott.
Rotoballer - looks at Matt Breida, DeeJay Dallas
The Huddle - talks James O’Shaughnessy, Austin Walter

I don’t know what to say about these

Except who is Austin Walter?

JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB

Here's how the Jets split their backfield without Michael Carter (RB rush share vs target share) Austin Walter (definitely a person): 29.0%; 4.3% Tevin Coleman: 51.6%; 13.0% Ty Johnson: 19.4%; 4.3%

They literally ran Derrick Henry into the ground

Rich Hribar @LordReebs

Derrick Henry (who has not played since Week 8) was finally passed this weekend as the NFL touch leader by both Najee Harris and Jonathan Taylor.

Everyone’s F-ing Hurt

Taysom Hill injury update: How to handle the Saints QB/TE/RB vs. Bucs in 2021 NFL Playoffs - DraftKings Nation — Also injured

Sean McVay said OBJ suffered a hip pointer and they’ll monitor through the week but doesn’t expect him to be limited. In his second game with the Rams, Odell posted his first top-12 finish of 2021. Darrell Henderson suffered a quad strain in the Rams' loss.

@JeffDuncan reported “Taysom Hill has been battling a plantar fascia injury in his foot. It's extremely painful.” However, Hill was taking first-team reps this week in practice in preparation to face the Cowboys. Trevor Siemian was taking No. 2 reps.

Kyle Shanahan said Deebo Samuel is expected to miss 1-2 weeks with a strained groin.

Dalvin Cook tore his labrum while dislocating his shoulder. But the ailment is not season-ending and the Vikings will rest Cook a few games to have him healthy for a playoff run.

Browns’ standout OT Jack Conklin tore his patella tendon and will miss the rest of the season.

Pat Freiermuth was evaluated for a concussion after the Steelers' Week 12 loss. Zach Gentry would be the Steelers starting tight end

Urban Meyer of the Day

Hayden Winks @HaydenWinks

Targets per Route Run

@IR_DannyT finds that Targets Per Route Run is the stickiest WR stat, meaning it’s more likely to repeat week-after-week (and year-after-year). This helps in dynasty and keeper leagues, but especially redraft, where you want weekly consistency.

The most targeted wide receivers in the NFL on a per route basis through Week 12 (per @DwainMcFarland):

30% -- Cooper Kupp

29% -- Davante Adams

28% -- Diontae Johnson, Tyreek Hill, A.J. Brown

26% -- Deebo Samuel

25% -- D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs